INDEPENDENTSPORTS MARKET INTELLIGENCEEST. 2026
SMRSPORTS MARKET REPORT

DATA BEFORE OPINION

Independent analysis.
Evidence behind every position.

Sports Market Report is an independent sports analytics company. We audit every game, calculate an independent market price and publish the evidence behind every position.

LIVE MARKET INTELLIGENCE

The market moves.
SMR responds.

The morning rating is only the beginning. SMR continuously monitors market prices and the verified information behind every matchup. When something material changes, Full Model members receive an actionable text update—not merely a notification that the line moved.

Previous line → current line Current rating and 9-factor score SMR model line and playable number Verified reason for the movement Upgrade, downgrade or withdrawal Pregame updates only—no live chasing

Most services send picks. SMR monitors the position after the pick.

Get the Full Model

WEEKLY FOOTBALL INTELLIGENCE

The Monday Board

The weekend results that changed the market—and what matters next.

Every Monday, SMR isolates the college football and NFL developments that materially changed team value: contender movement, meaningful injuries, rankings, playoff implications and the pressure points shaping the next slate.

Read The Monday Board

THE AUDIT PROCESS

How SMR arrives at a position.

A rating is the end of the process—not the beginning. Every audit follows the same sequence so the market never influences the model’s independent starting point.

How SMR works: Every matchup is evaluated using verified team, player, lineup, situational, weather, market and simulation data. Verification measures whether the evidence is trustworthy—not whether it favors a side. Positive, neutral and negative evidence is displayed separately, while ratings are determined by model margin and market value. Ratings may change before game time as lineups, injuries, weather and market prices update.

01

Verify the game

We establish the official matchup, venue, participants and material availability before the audit begins.

02

Price it independently

SMR calculates its model line and projected score before retrieving and comparing the live market.

03

Run the full audit

Sport-specific inputs, simulations and verification checks test both the projection and the quality of its evidence.

04

Compare the market

The frozen SMR price is measured against current consensus lines to determine whether an actionable edge exists.

05

Publish the position

Every game receives a rating, supporting record and—when qualified—a maximum playable price or line.

STRONG BUYComplete verification plus required value
BUYQualified evidence and sufficient edge
HOLDModel lean exists, but price or verification does not justify a position
PASSNo measurable edge or reliable directional opinion

LIVE MARKET BOARDS

Choose your sport.

Each sport has its own model, evidence standards and market gates. Select a board to view the complete audit framework.

TRANSPARENCY IS THE PRODUCT

Nothing disappears when the game begins.

The final pregame position freezes at first pitch or kickoff and remains attached to its issued market. Completed results are graded against that preserved record—not rewritten by live data.

Frozen pregame record

The issued rating, price and playable threshold remain visible after the market closes.

Every-game recap

Daily narratives explain what happened, how the game developed and how the position graded.

Read the Daily Recap

Permanent track record

Published positions, closing numbers and completed results stay available for review.

View Track Record

MEMBER ACCESS

The complete board, while the market is still actionable.

Members receive current ratings, model prices, verification records and maximum playable thresholds. Public readers receive completed recaps and frozen positions only after games begin.

Complete sport-specific boards Material market-change alerts Evidence behind every published position Member-only actionable pregame data